Predicting the Future

The New York Times asked leaders in the year 1931 to predict what the U.S. would be like in 2011. At least one guy seemed to be prescient: William Ogburn, a sociologist. He predicted how the lives of women would be more like men. Maybe not so surprising as in 1931 he was also the president of the American Statistical Association. Interestingly, he also gave birth to the idea of "cultural lag" - meaning the process by which the non-technical world responds to innovation. In essence, technology innovation is tempered by culture and created by it.